- 5 ECTS
- Taught in Portuguese
- Both continuous and final Assessment
- relevant skillset
It is intended that the student is able to:
i.From the notions of Descriptive Statistics: analyze and interpret a set of data (revisions) and establish the possible relationship between two sets of quantitative data to make predictions.
ii.Interpret, analyze and apply the Theory of Probability to various practical problems.
iii. Define, classify and use random variables.
The student should be able to perform statistical inferences within the course units that succeed (Quantitative Methods and Econometrics, built from the basics of Descriptive Statistics and Theory of Probability.
Basic knowledge of Mathematics and Descriptive Statistics.
Presentation and discussion from case studies.
We use the lecture method to introduce the syllabus supplemented with the presentation of practical application examples.
Body of Work
1) Descriptive Statistics
1.1 Important concepts (revision): data, population/sample and variables.
1.2 Univariates distributions (revision): frequency distributions, graphical representations, descriptive measures (location, dispersion).
1.3 Bivariates distributions: correlation and simple regression.
2) Probability Theory
2.1 Introduction: randomized trials; Space results and events.
2.2 Probability Concepts: frequencist, classical (brief revisions of Combinatorial Analisys) and axiomatic.
2.3 Conditional probability. Theorems. Bayes Theorem. Independence.
3) Variable Random
3.1 Random variables: definition and classification of variables.
3.2 Distribution function (properties).
3.3 Probability function of a discrete random variable. Density probability function of a continuous random variable.
3.4 Expected value. Variance and standard deviation.
Murteira, B., Ribeiro, C., Andrade e Silva, J., Pimenta, C. Pimenta, F. (2015). Introdução à Estatística (3ª edição). Escolar Editora.
Magalhães, F., Oliveira, C. e Silva, E. (2017). Estatística Descritiva aplicada à Gestão: uma análise exploratória dos dados. Vida Económica.
Newbold, P., Carlson, W. and Thorne, B. (2013). Statistics for Business and Economics. 8ª edição, Pearson.
Pedrosa, A. e Gama, S. (2016) Introdução Computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística. 3ª edição, Porto Editora.
Figueiredo,F., Figueiredo, A., Ramos, A. e Teles,P. (2009) Estatística Descritiva e Probabilidades, Escolar Editora.
Afonso, A. e Nunes, C. (2011). Estatística e Probabilidades. Aplicações e soluções em SPSS. Escolar Editora.
Guimarães, R. C. e Sarsfield Cabral, J. A.(2010) Estatística, Editora: Verlag Dashofer (Portugal).
Paulino, C. D. e Branco, J. (2006) Exercícios de Probabilidade e Estatística, Escolar Editora.
Week 1: Presentation of the program content, sources of information and evaluation methods of the UC. Revision on discrete statistical variables:raw data, frequency distributions and graphical representations, descriptive measures of location and dispersion.
Week 2:Continuation of the revision of discrete statistical variables. Practical applications.
Week 3:Revisions on continuous statistical variables:frequency distributions and graphical representations, descriptive measures of location and dispersion.
Week 4: Scatter diagram. Covariance.Correlation: Pearson correlation coefficient.Practical application.
Week 5: Simple regression. Determination coefficient. Practical applications.
Week 6: Probability Theory: random experiences; Results space; Events. Algebra of events.
Week 7: Probability Theory: properties of operations with events. Frequencist and Classical Probability definition(revisions of Combinatorial analysis: combinations, arrangements, permutations).
Week 8:Probability Axiomatic Definition (fundamental theorems). Practical applications.
Week 9: Conditional Probability. Bayes Theorem. Independent events. Practical applications.
Week 10: Probability Theory (cont.). 1º Test.
Week 11: Random variables - definition and classification of variables.
Week 12: Distribution Function. Practical applications.
Week 13: Probability function. Probability density function. Practical applications.
Week 14: Expected value. Variance and standard deviation. Practical applications of the measures studied.
Week 15: Practical applications.
Demonstration of the syllabus coherence with the curricular unit's objectives
For the purpose i) of the U.C. contributes point 1) of the program. Points 1.1 and 1.2 allows the student to recall the basic concepts of Descriptive Statistics (analyze, reduce, and interpret univariate quantitative data). For (i) it also contributes the point 1.3 that allows to obtain a basic knowledge on bivariate data.
For the purpose of ii) U.C. contributes 2.1) program. The learning of Probability Theory concepts, points 2.2) to 2.3) of the program allows students to obtain a solid knowledge in this area and contributes to sensitize these to the specific role of Probabilities in decision making(Objective ii).
With regard to objective iii) directly contribute points 3)of the program.
Furthermore, the contents of this U.C. allows students to create practical skills by performing various practical exercises, to perform statistical inferences within the U.C. that succeed.
Demonstration of the teaching methodologies coherence with the curricular unit's objectives
Expositive and participatory methods are used to achieve objectives (i) to (iii).
These are achieved by combining the theoretical exposition, critical analysis and discussion of some examples and practical exercises, in a participatory manner, that is, elaborated and discussed by all.
|relevant generic skill||improved?||assessed?|
|Achieving practical application of theoretical knowledge||Yes||Yes|
|Adapting to new situations||Yes||Yes|
|Analytical and synthetic skills||Yes||Yes|
|Balanced decision making||Yes||Yes|
|Commitment to quality||Yes||Yes|
|Ethical and responsible behaviour||Yes|
|Event organization, planning and management||Yes||Yes|
|Foreign language proficiency|
|Information and learning management||Yes|
|IT and technology proficiency|
|Problem Analysis and Assessment||Yes||Yes|
|Relating to others||Yes|
|Written and verbal communications skills||Yes||Yes|